Budget retailer Poundland reports a 12% rise in half-year profits to £9.3m.
IRA Contributions Held Up by Washington Turkeys
David R. Kotok
Cumberland Advisors November 26, 2014
All the latest business and financial developments.
Brent crude falls, as Opec unlikely to cut output <- details start here
Coming up: General strike in Greece; German inflation and unemployment
Just in: Germany’s unemployment total had fallen again as its labour market shrugs off the economy’s slowdown.
German unemployment down 14k in November. Jobless rate steady at new record low of 6.6% (Oct rev from 6.7% to 6.6%) http://t.co/IB241xZiZT
The oil price is sliding rapidly to fresh four-year lows, as traders come to the conclusion that OPEC will agree not to cut output at today’s meeting in Vienna.
Media scrum building ahead of the arrival of opec ministers. pic.twitter.com/z7J9MyuZrk
Now in the media holding pen (the stairwell) before start of opec meeting pic.twitter.com/fZ5uzDO77f
Today’s OPEC meeting is a “watershed moment”, reckons Marc Ostwald, City analyst at ADM Investor Services, especially if the cartel declines to slice output.
The signals from the various members appear to suggests that the Gulf oil producers (Kuwait, Qatar, UAE and Saudi Arabia) are set to reject demands from other members (and indeed Russia and Mexico) for an output cut, because they appear to be more concerned about “guarding market share”, which in turn will leave even more questions about the precarious budget positions of the other members.
We have worrying inflation data from the eurozone too, which could increase the pressure on the ECB to launch a sovereign bond-buying programme.
Spain’s annual consumer prices index has fallen by 0.4%, down from -0.1% in October.
Deflation accelerated in Spain in November. EU HICP minus 0.5% y-o-y. pic.twitter.com/VCXArwz2mw
#German #CPI – Saxony CPI first out: -0.1% m/m vs. expected Flat, 0.7% y/y vs. Oct 1.0%, ex-energy Flat m/m
Brent crude has experienced a dramatic slide; down from $115 per barrel in late June to just $76 today, as this chart from Reuters’ Jamie McGeever shows:
As we wait for OPEC, a reminder how much and how quickly oil has fallen. -34% since June: pic.twitter.com/HcUxJ2sZSE
JP Morgan analysts reckon the oil price will soon fall below $70 without Opec action; other analysts have suggested we could even see $60/barrel.
JPM expects OPEC not to reach an agreement on production cuts. In this event, oil prices will move down, possibly below $70/bbl for Brent.
Singapore-based Daniel Ang of Phillip Capital agrees that the “consensus” reached by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates means no output cuts today:
He told Reuters:
“Dreams of rising oil prices [have been] smashed with pre-OPEC meeting sentiments. Brace yourselves for lower oil prices.”
Several other oil ministers have also indicated that Opec will resist pressure to cut output at today’s meeting.
UAE oil minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui told the FT that the market will, eventually, fix the oversupply in the oil market.
“I don’t think we should panic. There is nothing that should cause us to panic.”
“We have to live either $80 or with $60,” says Kuwait oil minister: Oil prices fall to 4-year lows as OPEC pro… http://t.co/xjxonNHx7c
The oil price has hit a fresh four-year low this morning, as speculation grows that producers will not agree output cuts at the crucial OPEC meeting in Vienna today.
Brent crude oil slipped by over $1 per barrel, or 1.5%, to $76.58, extending the sell-off that began five months ago and has shaken the commodities market.
Crude oil is trading at another four-year low this morning, as confirmation is beginning to emerge from the OPEC meeting that there will be no output cuts announced later today.
Welcome to our rolling coverage of the financial markets, the world economy, business and the eurozone.
On the agenda today…. Members of the Opec oil cartel are meeting in Vienna today; despite recent price falls, they are thought unlikely to cut production. More on that in a moment.
German CPI, Draghi talking, holiday volumes and Opec could make European markets sporty today
The Food Standards Agency will publish rates of contamination for each supermarket chain. The industry is bracing itself for the results to be significantly worse than those published by the FSA in August, which found six in 10 chickens were contaminated.
Campylobacter rates tend to rise in the summer and averages similar to 75% found by the European Food Safety Authority in 2010 are expected.
SRINAGAR, India (Reuters) – Militants dressed in army uniforms attacked an Indian army base in the disputed state of Kashmir on Thursday, killing one soldier and wounding two, as the leaders of India and Pakistan attended a regional summit aimed at boosting trade.A gun fight between the militants and the army was continuing, a senior Indian army officer said. Two militants had been shot dead and one arrested, the officer said.
KABUL (Reuters) – A suicide bomber riding a motorcycle struck a British embassy vehicle in Afghanistan’s capital on Thursday, killing at least five people and wounding many bystanders, officials said.
BANGKOK (Reuters) – A Thai court sentenced to death five suspected Muslim separatists convicted of killing four soldiers, prompting Human Rights Watch to accuse the government of applying “double standards” in the turbulent south.
ATHENS (Reuters) – Greek labor unions staged a 24-hour strike on Thursday that canceled hundreds of flights, shut public offices and severely disrupted local transport, in the first major industrial action to cripple the austerity-weary country in months.
More than one million vinyl records have been sold in the UK so far this year – the first time the milestone has been achieved since 1996.
The Greek government is keen to trumpet the country’s improved economic outlook, as the country exits recession for the first time in six years. But is any improvement being felt by people on the ground?
After a six year slump, Greece finally came out of recession earlier this month. But are there any signs of an improving situation for Greek families, individuals and businesses? That’s what we hoped to find out by asking for readers’ views on the current state of the Greek economy. We received hundreds of responses, with only 12% of respondents saying they had seen signs the economy was on the mend.
The Guardian’s Greece correspondent, Helena Smith, is deeply sceptical about the heralded recovery having any real impact on the ground.